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Tag Search: “data”

‘Nowcasting’ the Indian economy: A new approach to know the now-GDP

Bhadury and Pohit describe NCAER’s new ‘nowcasting’ model, which seeks to predict India’s GDP numbers at frequent intervals − typically on a monthly or quarterly basis − by exploiting the incremental ...

  • Articles

Waiting for jobs

Assessing the extent of job creation in India is constrained by lack of comprehensive, real-time employment data. This column presents statistics from a detailed analysis of multiple data sources and ...

  • Articles

Forecasting growth in times of transition

As per official data released on 31 August 2017, the Indian economy grew at 5.6% in the first quarter of the current fiscal year – in congruence with forecasts of National Council of Applied Economic ...

  • Perspectives

The lad(y) doth protest too much, methinks

Former Finance Minister Yashwant Sinha has trashed the present government’s track record on economic management. In a recent article, economist Surjit Bhalla refuted Mr. Sinha’s claims with a point-by...

  • Perspectives

India’s GDP: Deflating the right way

A non-ending debate on the GDP growth numbers brought out by the Central Statistics Office has been doing the rounds. In light of the mismatch between recent trends in the growth rate and an array of ...

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What does the new IIP series tell us about the state of manufacturing in India?

In May 2017, the Central Statistics Office released the new series of the Index of Industrial Production with 2011-12 as the base year, after a comprehensive revision of computation methods. The serie...

  • Articles

Using drones for social sector research

While drones have historically been used in military operations, their application for peaceful purposes has risen steeply in recent years. In this note, representatives from Outline India - a resear...

  • Notes from the Field

On India's latest GDP numbers

India’s latest GDP data shows that the economy grew at 7% in the previous quarter, despite demonetisation. In this article, Abhijit Banerjee discusses why the new numbers are likely to be an overestim...

  • Perspectives

Studying revisions in Indian GDP data

The GDP numbers for a given year undergo a sequence of revisions based on data availability. The periodic revisions are meant to reveal the true picture of the economy, and affect macroeconomic forec...

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GDP conundrum: A synoptic view

R Nagaraj, Professor of Economics at IGIDR, summarises the key points of controversy around the methodology and implications of the new GDP series.

  • Perspectives

GDP conundrum: Some areas of concern around growth overestimation in Indian manufacturing

Based on the new GDP series, large upward revisions in manufacturing growth rates were made – from 1.1% to 6.2% in 2012-13, and from -0.7% to 5.29% in 2013 – 14 that were not reflective of the actual ...

  • Perspectives

GDP conundrum: What makes the changes in the new series so radical?

Dennis Rajakumar and S.L. Shetty of the EPW Research Foundation, present a detailed explanation of the wide-ranging changes in the new 2011-12 National Accounts Statistics series.

  • Perspectives