Contributor : Profile
Ila Patnaik is a Professor at the National Institute of Public Finance and Policy (NIPFP). Prior to this, she was the Principal Economic Advisor to the Government of India from May 2014 to December 2015. She has also worked at the National Council of Applied Economic Research (NCAER), Indian Council for Research on International Economic Relations (ICRIER), and as economics editor at the Indian Express. Her main area of interest is open economy macroeconomics, including issues related to capital flows, the exchange rate regime, monetary policy, business cycles, and the financial sector in the context of opening of the capital account. Her recent papers deal with India's experience with capital flows, methods for testing, dating and monitoring structural change of the exchange rate regime, an examination of the exchange rate regime in India and China, questions of moral hazard in the currency exposure of firms, and explaining the change in home bias against Indian firms.
Posts by Ila Patnaik
RBI’s costly experiments with the currency
During 2023-2024, the average annual volatility of the rupee-dollar exchange rate was 1.8% – the lowest in over two decades. In this post, Patnaik, Pandey and Sengupta explain why sudden and sharp l...
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Radhika Pandey
Ila Patnaik
Rajeswari Sengupta
21 February, 2025
- Perspectives
Understanding the dynamics of the rupee-dollar exchange rate
Since 1993, the Indian rupee (INR) has officially been following a market-determined exchange rate – price is determined by demand for and supply of foreign exchange – with intervention by the Res...
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Ila Patnaik
Rajeswari Sengupta
11 October, 2021
- Perspectives
How tax incentives influence household financial saving
Indian households tend to hold a high fraction of their wealth in non-financial assets such as real estate and gold. Tax policy has been used to incentivise saving in financial assets and encouraging ...
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Radhika Pandey
Ila Patnaik
Renuka Sane
28 January, 2019
- Articles
Union Budget 2018: Not as expansionary as appears at first blush
In this article, Ila Patnaik assesses the implications of the recently announced Union Budget for inflationary expectations and monetary policy.
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Ila Patnaik
05 February, 2018
- Perspectives
When higher volatility is good news
Conventional wisdom suggests that access to financial services such as banks and bond markets, providing savings and borrowing instruments, allows smoothing consumption over lifetime, irrespective of...
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Rudrani Bhattacharya
Ila Patnaik
16 December, 2015
- Articles
Foreign currency borrowing by Indian firms: What do we know?
As foreign currency borrowing by Indian firms has been increasing, concerns have surfaced about rising associated risks. Hence, recent policy changes seeking to make the regulatory regime simpler and...
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Ila Patnaik
Ajay Shah
Nirvikar Singh
09 November, 2015
- Articles
Foreign borrowing by Indian firms: Implications for growth and macroeconomic stability
This project analyses the pattern of external borrowing by Indian firms, an exercise that has as yet not been carried out. It identifies possible drivers of such borrowing.
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Ila Patnaik
Ajay Shah
Nirvikar Singh
30 June, 2015
- IGC Research on India
Where is India's growth story headed?
The global financial crisis and domestic policy paralysis led to a decline in firms’ investment activities and investors’ business confidence in India. Could this have affected the economy’s lo...
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Ila Patnaik
Madhavi Pundit
25 May, 2015
- Articles
Foreign investors under stress: Evidence from India
Emerging market policymakers are concerned about the effects of foreign portfolio flows on financial stability. This column focuses on the behaviour of investors in extreme events, allowing for the po...
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Ila Patnaik
Ajay Shah
Nirvikar Singh
19 July, 2013
- Articles
Foreign investors under stress: Evidence at the firm level
Emerging market policymakers have been concerned about the financial stability implications of financial globalisation. These concerns are focussed particularly on behaviour under stressed conditions.
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Ila Patnaik
Ajay Shah
Nirvikar Singh
01 March, 2013
- IGC Research on India
Capital controls in India: Did they work?
Are capital controls the right way to manage an economy? This column looks at what we can learn from India’s experience, where capital controls have never been fully dismantled.
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Ila Patnaik
Ajay Shah
21 January, 2013
- Articles
Does Foreign Institutional Investment in India Increase Financial Vulnerability? An Empirical Investigation Using an Event Study Approach
Emerging market policymakers are concerned about the effects of foreign portfolio flows on financial stability. Do tail events in the home country trigger off extreme responses by foreign investors an...
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Ila Patnaik
Jean Paul Rabanal
Ajay Shah
Nirvikar Singh
31 October, 2011
- IGC Research on India