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Macroeconomics

An illusory Phillips curve: Is now the right time for a rate hike?

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Budget 2022-23 and outlook for the Indian economy

Several commentators have lauded the recently presented Budget 2022-23 as a ‘growth budget’, on account of the large allocations made for capital expenditure on public infrastructure. On the other...

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Assessing the credibility of sub-national budgets in India

The Covid-19 crisis has put immense pressure on the finances of Indian states. Fiscal consolidation in the post-pandemic period will depend on growth revival, increased fund flows, and efficient budge...

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Budget 2021-22: A passing grade

Assessing the 2021-22 Union Budget, Bhaskar Dutta argues that while there are several positive features, the overall thrust is disappointing because it does not address the needs of the poor.

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India’s Covid-19 lockdown: An interim report

In an earlier paper, Debraj Ray and S. Subramanian had argued that in developing countries like India, a perspective of "lives versus lives" may be needed to evaluate the virtues of a stringent lockdo...

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How to ease Covid-19 lockdown? Forward guidance using a multi-dimensional vulnerability index

While extending the nationwide Covid-19 lockdown for two more weeks starting 17 May 2020, the government has given major relaxations for public movement and economic activity in non-containment zones ...

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Covid-19: Leading India effectively out of the lockdown

India is on the brink of coming out of its Covid-19 lockdown. In this post, Ghosh and Pal examine the challenges around the implementation of expert advice on effectively leading India out of the lock...

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Webinar: The new Coronavirus and the Indian economy

The Centre for Development Economics and Sustainability (CDES) and I4I are jointly hosting a webinar with Ashok Kotwal (Editor-in-Chief, I4I) on Monday, 18 May at 9.30 am IST. Prof. Kotwal will discus...

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Covid-19: Getting fiscal policy right

The textbook answer to financing of additional government expenditure in a recession is that the government should borrow the funds rather than impose a tax. Gurbachan Singh argues that the convention...

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Covid-19: Consequences for state finances

When Covid-19 pandemic started in India, given that health is a state subject, individual states reacted as best they could under state-level legislations. However, as more than 60% of all economic ac...

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How costly are flawed government responses to Covid-19? An assessment of the migrant crisis

By March-end, countless migrant workers started fleeing India’s locked-up cities and trekking home to their villages amidst the Covid-19 crisis. Sarmistha Pal argues that government’s responses un...

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Covid-19: Expected migrant movement as lockdown eases

Since the lockdown was announced in India, many migrants have undertaken the difficult journey to their place of origin. However, millions of them are still in cities, and some are expected to return ...

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Covid-19: Health, macroeconomics, and trade

There is great uncertainty around the spread and eventual end of the Covid-19 pandemic, and the possibility of extended or intermittent lockdowns. Besides the immediate health crisis and loss of liv...

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Is Covid-19 equally deadly across all states?

International experience suggests that the rates of fatality on account of Covid-19 vary across the world. In this post, Jain and Chatterjee seek to estimate the fatality rate of the pandemic in India...

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15th Finance Commission: Covid-19 warrants rethink of local government allocations

The 15th Finance Commission has made significant departures from the previous Central Finance Commissions in its recommendations for urban local governments, in its interim report for 2020-21. In this...

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Covid-19: Ashok Kotwal speaks with Pronab Sen

In conversation with Ashok Kotwal on the ongoing economic crisis caused by lockdown to mitigate Covid-19 spread, Pronab Sen breaks down the problem into survival of individuals and livelihoods, and th...

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Most Popular Macroeconomics Posts

Land in India: Market price vs. fundamental value

The Real Estate (Regulation and Development) Bill, 2015, is focused on protecting the few home buyers who can afford to buy homes but does not address the issue of high land prices, which is a very se...

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Land records and titles in India

Land ownership is broadly determined by access to a land title, which protects the rights of the title-holder, and impacts livelihoods, and industrial, economic, and social growth. However, land title...

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Covid-19: Macroeconomic implications for India

Due to the measures adopted to prevent the spread of the Coronavirus Disease 2019 (Covid-19), especially social distancing and lockdown, non-essential expenditures are being postponed. This is causing...

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