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Macroeconomics

Interim Budget 2019: Rising fiscal deficit in a 'booming' economy

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Has China really outperformed India?

It is widely agreed that China has grown much faster than India, and that India has finally taken over in recent years. In this piece, Martin Rama benchmarks the growth performances of the two countri...

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Why external sovereign debt should be avoided

The Finance Minister of India, in her 2019 Budget speech, announced the government’s intent to finance a part of the fiscal deficit by issuing sovereign bonds in the international financial markets....

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Nobel laureate Paul Romer’s contribution to endogenous growth theory

What motivates people like Steve Jobs to spend time, money, and effort in developing new ideas despite the implicit hazard that ideas can easily be copied later? In this post, Mausumi Das contends tha...

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How did de-reservation of small-scale industry affect employment?

To protect small, labour-intensive manufacturing enterprises and boost employment, the Indian government reserved certain products for exclusive production by such enterprises. This policy was gradual...

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Food processing industries: Lessons from Bihar

For an industrially backward state like Bihar, placing food processing as the lead sector for industrial development is a natural choice from the perspective of resource advantage and interlinked sect...

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Minimum wage legislation for domestic workers: Does it work?

Between 2005 and 2009, for the first time, seven Indian states notified minimum wages for domestic workers. This column evaluates the impact of the legislation in terms of real wages and employment op...

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Studying revisions in Indian GDP data

The GDP numbers for a given year undergo a sequence of revisions based on data availability. The periodic revisions are meant to reveal the true picture of the economy, and affect macroeconomic forec...

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How do electricity shortages affect industry in India?

Poor electricity supply is widely recognised as a key impediment to firm growth and productivity. This column finds that average reported level of electricity shortages in India reduces annual plant r...

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GDP conundrum: A synoptic view

R Nagaraj, Professor of Economics at IGIDR, summarises the key points of controversy around the methodology and implications of the new GDP series.

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GDP conundrum: Some areas of concern around growth overestimation in Indian manufacturing

Based on the new GDP series, large upward revisions in manufacturing growth rates were made – from 1.1% to 6.2% in 2012-13, and from -0.7% to 5.29% in 2013 – 14 that were not reflective of the act...

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GDP conundrum: What makes the changes in the new series so radical?

Dennis Rajakumar and S.L. Shetty of the EPW Research Foundation, present a detailed explanation of the wide-ranging changes in the new 2011-12 National Accounts Statistics series.

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Introduction to e-Symposium: The GDP conundrum

Ever since India’s Central Statistical Organisation came out with the new GDP series with 2011-12 as the base year, controversy has surrounded it. The CSO claims that the new series is calculated b...

  • Symposia

GDP conundrum: Is India booming?

Rajeswari Sengupta, Assistant Professor at IGIDR, points out that the methodology used for the new GDP series seems to be underestimating the GDP deflator, which in turn is causing real growth to be o...

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A macro view of India’s currency ban

The recent ban on high-value currency notes has taken the country by storm. While much is being written about the pros and cons of this announcement in terms of the effect on black money, logistical c...

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Shock and oh damn

In this article, Pronab Sen, Country Director for the India Central Programme of the International Growth Centre, argues that India’s recent demonetisation has penalised virtually the entire informa...

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Duke University

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Most Popular Macroeconomics Posts

Land in India: Market price vs. fundamental value

The Real Estate (Regulation and Development) Bill, 2015, is focused on protecting the few home buyers who can afford to buy homes but does not address the issue of high land prices, which is a very se...

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Land records and titles in India

Land ownership is broadly determined by access to a land title, which protects the rights of the title-holder, and impacts livelihoods, and industrial, economic, and social growth. However, land title...

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Global financial crisis and India: A look at the decade gone by

The crisis that emerged in the US subprime mortgage market this month 10 years ago, not only engulfed the country’s financial system but the entire global economy. In this post, Vikas Dimble and Nal...

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